Kotak Commodity`s outlook on Base metals

All the base metals are trading lower today tracking weak global cues and weakness in global equities. Going forward,prices will be under pressure due to growing concerns of slowing economic recovery in Euro Zone, weakness in equities and strengthening of dollar. However, falling inventories will limit downside. Prices will continue to track economic releases and movement in global currency and equity markets. As for today, focus will be on German Trade Balance and Industrial Production and US Beige Book.

BUY SOYABEAN NCDEX OCT AT 2070–2065

BUY SOYABEAN NCDEX OCT AT 2070–2065 SL BEL 2060 TGT 2080–2090
http://freencdextips.blogspot.com

BTST PEPPER 20900 -21000 S/L 20627 : standard group

standard group:BTST PEPPER 20900 -21000 S/L 20627 TGT 21500

Kotak Commodity`s outlook on Base metals

Commenting on the base metals outlook, broking houseKotak Commodity Services (KSCL), said the following:

Copper

TODAY OUTLOOK ON Bullion ,Energy ,Base Metals : JRG Commodity Research

Bullion
Gold prices remained strong last week as well as safe haven demand for the metal continued to underpin the strength in the counter. Weaker than expected economic data gave rise to skepticism regarding the economic recovery in the US and has resulted in it reducing the demand for riskier assets.

BASE METALS OUTLOOK: KOTAK

Copper- MCX Copper may trade sideways with a positive bias tracking international exchanges. Prices may
trade in a range as US markets are closed today on account of Labour Day Holiday. Supporting prices is
better than expected US job data which in turn has eased concerns regarding economic recovery in US. Also
supporting prices is weakness in dollar, firmness in equities and falling inventories at LME warehouse. Stocks
at LME rose by 1800 tonnes on Friday and are in the lower range for the year. Stocks at SHFE warehouse fell
by 4665 tonnes or 4.22 percent while those at COMEX warehouse fell by 695 tonnes or 0.73 percent last
week. Prices will continue to take cues from economic releases and global equities and currency markets. As
for today, focus will be on Euro Zone Sentix Investor Confidence. Support for November copper is seen at
Rs.353 while Resistance is seen at Rs.363.

Aluminum- MCX Aluminum may trade sideways with a positive bias tracking higher copper prices. Prices may
also seek support from fall in stockpiles at LME warehouse. Stocks at LME warehouse fell by 5375 tonnes on
Friday coupled with rise in cancel warrants. Also stocks at SHFE warehouse fell by modest 176 tonnes last
week. Support for Aluminum September contract is seen at Rs.99.2. while resistance of Rs.102. Though
inventories are still close to the record highs of 4.6 million tonnes in January, around 75-80 percent of them
are estimated to be tied up in financing deals.

Zinc- MCX Zinc may trade with a positive bias amid higher copper prices. Prices may however, be under
pressure after inventories reached record levels for the year at LME warehouses. Zinc stocks at LME fell by
700 tonnes on Friday but continue to be near record highs for the year. Also stocks at SHFE warehouses saw
a gain of 4472 tonnes or 1.93 percent last week. Support for MCX Zinc September contract is seen at
Rs.99.8 while Resistance is seen at Rs.103.

Nickel- MCX Nickel may trade sideways with a positive bias tracking firm global cues. Supporting prices is
better than expected macro economic data which has succeeded in improving sentiments. Also weakness in
dollar and firmness in equities is expected to lend support to prices. The upside in prices may be stalled due
to rising stockpiles. Nickel stocks at LME warehouses have risen from their lowest level in the year; stocks
noted a decline of 156 tonnes on Friday. Support for MCX Nickel September contract is seen at Rs.1010
while Resistance is seen at Rs.1040.

Lead- MCX Lead may trade sideways with a positive bias amid higher copper prices. Prices may also seek
support from rising cancel warrants at LME warehouse. Lead stocks fell by 400 tonnes on Friday but are in
the upper range for the year. However, cancelled tonnage or inventories bookmarked for delivery rose to
5.41 percent indicating pick up in physical demand. Support for MCX Lead September contract is seen at
Rs.100 while Resistance is seen at Rs.103.5.

Steel- NCDEX Steel may with a positive bias amid firm global cues and strengthening in industrial metals.
Support for NCDEX Steel September contract is seen at Rs.24800 while Resistance is seen at Rs.25200.

Rupee likely to remain firm: Greenback Forex

Subramaniam Sharma, Greenback Forex said that, “The rupee is likely to be firm in early trade on account of sharp gains in the euro, and also positive equity market cues. The range for the day is seen between 46.40-46-75/$.”

Rupee likely in range between 46.70-47.10/$: Alpari India

Pramit Brahmbhatt, Alpari India said that, “The market will remain rangebound with a negative bias. Next week will be important to gauge the movement of currencies. The range for the day is seen between 46.70-47.10/$.”

Base metals outlook from Kotak Commodity Services

Commenting on the base metals outlook, broking houseKotak Commodity Services (KSCL), said the following:

Copper

Sushil Global sees gold heading to lower levels soon

Q: You got a sell out on gold today?

BUY GUAR SEED SEPT ABV 2090 SL 2050 : standard group

standard group:BUY GUAR SEED SEPT ABV 2090 T 1 2130 T2 2160 SL 2050

BUY PEPPER BETWEEN 19750 – 19800 SL BELOW 19450 : standard group

standard group:BUY PEPPER BETWEEN 19750 – 19800 SL BELOW 19450 TARGET 20250 Bookmark

SELL SOYABEAN SEPT BELOW 2015 SL 2027 : Standard Group

SELL SOYABEAN SEPT BELOW 2015 T 1995 SL 2027

Outlook on Spot Gold: Geojit

“The trends for spot gold regained vigor yesterday, helped by a much need consolidation and dip towards USD 1,231, finally culminating in taking out USD 1,244, the recent high. With this move, we are one step closer to the record peak of USD 1,264.9 hit in late June this year. However, prices have temporarily slowed down a shade under USD 1,252, the second point of exhaustion on discussion in this report in the last fortnight. Incidentally prices are also presently at the upper extremity of the internal trendline, supporting our surmise that USD  1,252/59 region could indeed tire out this move, or in a secondary but allied approach, plunge once more towards USD 1,231 before taking out the record peak,“ saidAnand James, chief analyst, Geojit Comtrade.

Book Partial profit in Pepper STBT Call at 19650 ( Call Given 19950-20000) : Standard Group

Standard Group : Book Partial profit in Pepper STBT Call at 19650  ( Call Given 19950-20000) If u can wait for Hold the Tgt

Rupee review and outlook : Karvy Forex Research

Karvy Forex Research has come out with a research report on currencies. The broking firm is expecting rupee may open on appreciate note.

The report says, “On Tuesday, lower than expected consumer confidence and Chicago purchase index made the US equity market volatile. The treasury yield decreased, stock market improved and dollar marginally strengthening against yen and Euro ahead of FOMC meet. But later US equities pared its gains as some FED officials stated that there is still downside risk which settled the Dow Jones on flat note at 100014.72. Improved manufacturing activity in China helped the Asian equity market to trade on positive note.

Outlook on Spot Gold : geojitcomtrade

TECHNICAL COMMENTARY: International Spot Gold (Last 1237)
With yesterday’s lack luster trades, the trend has let go off its first chance to evoke directional trades, and we have moved into a neutral zone, as against a bearish favour that loomed large yesterday. Early trades today are likely to see prices crawling up towards 1239/40 region, but would gain mobility if 1244 region gives away in such attempts. As such the trend lacks the vigour to muscle its way past 1244, but such an event would take prices to the next identified exhaustion region of 1252/59. Traders are advised to be
prepared against a whipsaw in the 1244-55 region, which may swing prices back viciously towards 1231. On the whole, we maintain a broad positive outlook and anticipates the life time peak to be unsettled soon, but as such the pattern so far has lacked proper consolidation to suggest sustainable and directional upsidesin the near term.
Trading Strategies:
• Sell near 1239/40, TGT1231 (Risky)
• Buy near 1231, TGT 1240 (Risky)
• Buy above 1244, TGT 1252 (Choppy)
• Buy above 1259, TGT 1264.9/87 (Directional)
• Sell below 1230, TGT 1220/07 (Choppy, quick)

Base metals outlook : Kotak Commodity Services

Commenting on the base metals outlook, broking houseKotak Commodity Services (KSCL), said the following:

Copper

TURMERIC TREND (sep)

TURMERIC SEPT:TREND Consolidate RESISTANCE 2 13480 RESISTANCE 1 13350 SUPPORT 1 13020 SUPPORT 2 12850

Come Diwali, gold to cross Rs 20,000 per 10gm

Diwali is set to ignite the gold boom in India and the prices are expected to cross Rs 20,000 per 10 gm.

OUTLOOK ON BASEMETAL : KOTAK COMMODITY

Outlook

Copper- MCX Copper may trade sideways with a positive bias tracking international exchanges. No major movement is expected though, as LME is shut today on account of summer bank holiday. Supporting prices is buoyancy in global equities market and falling inventories. Stocks at LME fell by 1150 tonnes on Friday coupled with rise in number of cancel warrants. Also stocks at COMEX warehouse fell by 721 tonnes or 0.75
percent last week, while those at SHFE rose by modest 211 tonnes. Also supporting prices is US Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke’s assurance that though the US economy has softened more than expected the Fed will take action to spur economic growth in the region. However, concerns regarding demand for metals continue to persist limiting the upside. Prices may continue to take cues from economic releases and
movement in global currency and equity markets. As for today focus will be on US PCE Price Index, Personal Spending and Income. Support for August copper is seen at Rs.346 while Resistance is seen at Rs.354
Aluminum- MCX Aluminum may trade sideways with a positive bias tracking higher copper prices. Prices may also seek support from fall in stockpiles at LME warehouse. Stocks at LME warehouse fell by 3200 tonnes on Friday. Support for Aluminum August contract is seen at Rs.95.5. while resistance of Rs.98. Though inventories are still close to the record highs of 4.6 million tonnes in January, around 75-80 percent of them
are estimated to be tied up in financing deals.
Zinc- MCX Zinc may trade sideways with a positive bias amid higher copper prices. However, rising stocks at LME warehouses may weigh heavily on the prices. Stocks at LME are at yearly high of 623100 tonnes. However stocks at SHFE warehouses fell by 4404 tonnes last week. Support for MCX Zinc August contract is seen at Rs.96 while Resistance is seen at Rs.99. While the Chinese have bought LME zinc on the cheap, the
metal has also been supported by the artificial market tightness created by bank financing deals.
Nickel- MCX Nickel may trade sideways with a positive bias however the upside seems limited. Prices may seek support from firm global cues and buoyancy in global equities market. However, rising stocks of Nickel at LME warehouses are putting pressure on the prices. This coupled with concerns of future demand may limit the upside. Nickel stocks at LME warehouse rose by 2472 tonnes or 2.12 percent last week, but
continue to be in the lower range for the year. Support for MCX Nickel August contract is seen at Rs.980 while Resistance is seen at Rs.1020.
Lead- MCX Lead may trade sideways with a positive bias amid higher copper prices. However prices may be under pressure amid rising inventories at LME warehouses. Lead stocks fell by 300 tonnes on Friday but are in the upper range for the year. Support for MCX Lead August contract is seen at Rs.96 while Resistance is seen at Rs.99.
Steel- NCDEX Steel may trade sideways with a positive bias amid firm global cues and strengthening industrial metals. Support for NCDEX Steel August contract is seen at Rs.24350 while Resistance is seen at Rs.24850.
Data and Events due today
• German Retail Sales m/m
• US Core PCE Price Index m/m
• US Personal Spending m/m
• Us Personal Income m/m


Bullish on gold, copper; buy on decline: Dani Commodities

Q: You are bullish on copper?

ELL SOYABEAN SEPT FUT BELOW 2045 SL 2066: Standard Group

Standard Group:SELL SOYABEAN SEPT FUT BELOW 2045 T 2022 SL 2066.

COMMOTRENDZ GOLD VIEW 4 THE DAY >>>

GOLD VIEW

COMMOTRENDZ GOLD VIEW 4 THE DAY >>> GOLD NOT ABLE TO CROSS AND HOLD 19000 LVL SHOWS SOME SLUGGISHNESS AT HIGHER LVL. VIEW SELL AROUND 18920-18940 LVL WTI SL ABV 18972 FOR TGT OF 18850-18760 FOR THE DAY. ANY BRAK BLW 18750 WILL SHOW MORE WEAKNESS UPT 18400 LVL. INTL RES 1244$ COMEX GOLD. ANY CROSS N HOLD CAN TAKE GOLD UPT 1250-1258$ LVL. VIEW SELL ON RES OR BUY NEAR SUP MID RANGE TRADING TO BE AVOIDED. RUPEE WEAKNESS PERSIST. ANY MORE WEAKNESS IN EQUITY MARKET WILL TAKE RUPEE TO 48 LVL IN COMING DAYS. WHICH WILL BOOST PRICES IN MCX EVEN IF WEAKNESS SEEN IN INTL GOLD PRICES.

BUY PPRMLGKOC(PEPPER) : standard group

BUY PPRMLGKOC(PEPPER)
buy above 20250, tgt 1 20500, tgt2, 20650 s/2050

Buy Gold in August, expect good returns in next two months : Anagram Capital

By Renisha Chainani
Believe it or not seasonal factors do affect Gold price levels! This probably sounds counter intuitive initially. Investors and speculators can buy and sell Gold anytime regardless of the passing of the calendar year, so why does the time of year matter? The answer is quite logical. It matters because calendar seasons greatly affect gold investment demand.

Why gold price is rising? : Dan Norcini

By Dan Norcini
The equity bulls were salivating over the prospect of watching another episode of “let’s take the shorts out and slaughter them all” as the world eagerly awaited the giving of the law from Mt. Jackson Hole. With claps of thunder in the background and with flashes of lightning interrupting his keen observations upon the state of the US economy, (some swear that they saw the angelic host), the prophet of Monetary religion sounded forth his prognostications and then looked upon his handiwork. He then saw that his work was good and sat down and rested on the seventh day.

Ram Pitre says buy gold at Rs 18,820-18,860/10gm

Q: You are bullish on gold today?

Take short position in Jeera: Kotak

Jeera has breached theshort term support line of Rs 14,500 (S) and today`s down fall confirms bearish undertone. This breach was important as it would now give momentum to the price to test Rs 13,790, said Dharmesh Bhatia, senior technical analyst, Kotak Commodity Services.

Base metals outlook from Kotak

Commenting on the base metals outlook, broking houseKotak Commodity Services (KSCL), said the following:

Copper

Silver looks positive: Astromoneyguru

Ajay Jain, a leading astro-finance consultant and CEO ofastromoneyguru.com said, Aug. 25, 2010 is represented by planet Ketu and year 2010 represented by Jupiter. Venus, Mars and Saturn making conjunction in Kanya Rashi. Saturn, Mars and Jupiter are at square angel. Today Rahu is in Dhanu Rashi. Jupiter, Saturn, Rahu and ketu are at square to each other.   This combination will lead mixed trend in Indian stock andcommodity market. It is important to trade with levels and timely profit booking is mandatory in short term trading.“

See fresh medium-term bull rally in gold: Anand Rathi Comm

Q: Is it time to buy gold again?

Rupee review and outlook : Karvy Forex Research

Karvy Forex Research has come out with a research report on currencies. The broking firm is expecting rupee to trade on mixed note.